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Art in the Garden Augusta Ky

Key Findings

California voters take now received their mail ballots, and the Nov 8 general election has entered its terminal stage. Amid rising prices and economic uncertainty—as well every bit deep partisan divisions over social and political problems—Californians are processing a great deal of data to assist them choose state constitutional officers and country legislators and to make policy decisions about state propositions. The 2022 midterm ballot as well features a closely divided Congress, with the likelihood that a few races in California may determine which party controls the US Business firm.

These are among the key findings of a statewide survey on state and national bug conducted from October fourteen to 23 by the Public Policy Institute of California:

  • Many Californians have negative perceptions of their personal finances and the United states economy.
    Seventy-six percent charge per unit the nation’south economy as “not then proficient” or “poor.” Thirty-nine percent say their finances are “worse off” today than a twelvemonth ago. Forty-7 percent say that things in California are going in the right direction, while 33 percentage think things in the US are going in the right direction; partisans differ in their overall outlook.→

  • figure - Californians name jobs, the economy, and inflation as the top issue

    Among likely voters, 55 percent would vote for Gavin Newsom and 36 percentage would vote for Brian Dahle if the governor’s ballot were today. Partisans are securely divided in their choices. Sixty percent are very or adequately closely post-obit news about the governor’s race. Sixty-ii percent are satisfied with the candidate choices in the governor’south election.→

  • When likely voters are read the ballot title and labels, 34 percent would vote yes on Proposition 26 (sports betting at tribal casinos), 26 percent would vote yes on Proffer 27 (online sports gambling),
    and 41 per centum would vote yes on Proposition 30 (reducing greenhouse gases). Nearly likely voters say they are not personally interested in sports betting, and 48 per centum think it would exist a “bad thing” if it became legal in the country. Fewer than half of likely voters say the vote outcome of Propositions 26, 27, or xxx is very important to them.→

  • Fifty-six percent of likely voters would back up the Democratic candidate in their United states of america Firm race if the election were today. 60-i pct say the event of abortion rights is very of import in their vote for Congress this year; Democrats are far more likely than Republicans or independents to hold this view. Nearly half are “extremely” or “very” enthusiastic nigh voting for Congress this twelvemonth; 54 percentage of Republicans and Democrats, and 41 percent of independents, are highly enthusiastic this yr.→
  • Forty-five per centum of Californians and 40 percent of likely voters are satisfied with the way that democracy is working in the United States.
    Republicans are far less likely than Democrats and independents to hold this positive view. In that location is rare partisan consensus on ane topic: majorities of Democrats, Republicans, and independents are pessimistic that Americans with different political views can nonetheless come together and work out their differences.→
  • Majorities of California adults and likely voters approve of Governor Gavin Newsom and President Joe Biden. About four in 10 or more California adults and probable voters approve of The states Senator Dianne Feinstein and U.s. Senator Alex Padilla. These approval ratings vary across partisan groups. Approval of the state legislature is college than approval of the Usa Congress.→

Overall Mood

With less than two weeks to get until what is fix to be a highly consequential midterm ballot, California adults are divided on whether the land is mostly headed in the right direction (47%) or wrong management (48%); a majority of likely voters (54%) think the country is headed in the incorrect direction (43% right direction). Like shares held this view last month (wrong management: 44% adults, 49% likely voters; right direction: 50% adults, 48% probable voters). Today, there is a wide partisan separate: seven in ten Democrats are optimistic well-nigh the direction of the state, while 91 pct of Republicans and 59 percent of independents are pessimistic. Majorities of residents in the Central Valley and Orangish/San Diego say the state is going in the wrong direction, while a bulk in the San Francisco Bay Area say right direction; adults elsewhere are divided. Across demographic groups, Californians ages 18 to 34 (sixty%), Asian Americans (52%), college graduates (52%), renters (52%), and women (52%) are the only groups in which a bulk are optimistic almost California’southward direction.

Californians are much more pessimistic about the direction of the land than they are virtually the management of the state. Solid majorities of adults (62%) and likely voters (71%) say the United States is going in the wrong direction, and majorities have held this view since September 2021. 1 in iii or fewer adults (33%) and likely voters (25%) think the country is going in the right direction. Majorities across all demographic groups and partisan groups, as well as beyond regions, are pessimistic nearly the direction of the Usa.

The land of the economy and inflation are likely to play a critical role in the upcoming election, and near four in x adults (39%) and likely voters (43%) say they and their family are worse off financially than they were a yr ago. Like shares say they are financially in well-nigh the same spot (43% adults, 44% likely voters). The share who feel they are worse off has risen slightly among likely voters since May, but is similar among adults (37% adults, 36% likely voters). Fewer than 2 in ten Californians say they are better off than they were one year agone (17% adults, 13% probable voters). A wide partisan divide exists: virtually Democrats and independents say their financial state of affairs is about the same as a yr agone, while solid majorities of Republicans say they are worse off. Regionally, about half in the San Francisco Bay Expanse and Los Angeles say they are most the aforementioned, while half in the Central Valley say they are worse off; residents elsewhere are divided betwixt being worse off and the same. Across demographic groups, pluralities say they are either financially about the same as last year or worse off, with the exception of African Americans (51% well-nigh the aforementioned, 33% worse off, xvi% better off) and Asian Americans (51% about the same, 27% worse off, twenty% amend off). The shares saying they are worse off decline as educational attainment increases.

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With persistent aggrandizement and concerns about a possible recession in the future, an overwhelming bulk of Californians believe the US economic system is in not so practiced (43% adults, xl% likely voters) or poor (33% adults, 36% probable voters) shape. About a quarter of adults (3% fantabulous, 20% good) and likely voters (2% excellent, 23% proficient) feel positively well-nigh the national economy. Strong majorities across partisan groups experience negatively, but Republicans and independents are much more probable than Democrats to say the economic system is in poor shape. Solid majorities across the state’s major regions likewise equally all demographic groups say the economy is in not and then good or poor shape. In a recent ABC News/Washington Mail service poll, 24 percentage (3% fantabulous, 21% proficient) of adults nationwide felt positively near the Usa economy, while 74 percent (36% not so skillful, 38% poor) expressed negative views.

Gubernatorial Election

Vi in x likely voters say they are following news well-nigh the 2022 governor’s race very (25%) or fairly (35%) closely—a share that has risen from half simply a month agone (17% very, 33% fairly). This finding is somewhat similar to October 2018, when 68 percent said this (28% very, xl% closely) a month before the previous gubernatorial election. Today, majorities beyond partisan, demographic, and regional groups say they are following news most the gubernatorial election either very or fairly closely. The shares proverb they are following the news very closely is highest amidst residents in Republican districts (39%), Republicans (30%), whites (29%), and adults with incomes of $xl,000 to $79,999 (29%). Older likely voters (27%) are slightly more than likely than younger likely voters (21%) to say they are following the news closely.

Autonomous incumbent Gavin Newsom is ahead of Republican Brian Dahle (55% to 36%) amongst probable voters, while few say they would not vote, would vote for neither, or don’t know who they would vote for in the governor’s race. The share supporting the reelection of the governor was like a calendar month ago (58% Newsom, 31% Dahle). Today, Newsom enjoys the back up of almost Democrats (91%), while most Republicans (86%) support Dahle; Newsom has an edge over Dahle among independent likely voters (47% Newsom, 37% Dahle). Across the state’due south regions, ii in 3 in the San Francisco Bay Area and Los Angeles support Newsom, as practice almost half in the Inland Empire and Orangish/San Diego; likely voters in the Primal Valley are split. Newsom leads in all demographic groups, with the exception of men (45% Newsom, 44% Dahle) and those with a loftier school diploma only (46% Newsom, 49% Dahle). The share supporting Newsom grows every bit educational attainment increases (46% high school only, 56% some college, threescore% college graduates), while it decreases with ascension income (64% less than $40,000, 56% $xl,000 to $79,999, 52% $80,000 or more than).

A solid majority of likely voters (62%) are satisfied with their choices of candidates in the November 8 ballot, while about three in ten (32%) are not satisfied. Shares expressing satisfaction have increased somewhat from a month agone (53%) and were similar prior to the 2018 gubernatorial election (60% October 2018). Today, a solid majority of Democrats (79%) and independents (61%) say they are satisfied, compared to fewer than half of Republicans (44%). Majorities beyond demographic groups say they are satisfied, and notably, women (68%) are more probable than men (56%) to say this. Majorities across the state’south regions say they are satisfied with their choices of candidates in the upcoming gubernatorial election.

State Propositions 26, 27, and thirty

In the upcoming November 8 election, there will be seven state propositions for voters. Due to time constraints, our survey only asked nigh three ballot measures: Propositions 26, 27, and 30. For each, we read the proposition number, ballot, and ballot label. Two of the state ballot measures were also included in the September survey (Propositions 27 and xxx), while Proposition 26 was non.

If the election were held today, 34 percent of likely voters would vote “yep,” 57 pct would vote “no,” and 9 pct are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition 26—Allows In-Person Roulette, Die, Game, Sports Wagering on Tribal Lands. This measure would let in-person sports betting at racetracks and tribal casinos, requiring that racetracks and casinos offering sports betting brand certain payments to the country to support land regulatory costs. Information technology also allows roulette and dice games at tribal casinos and adds a new way to enforce certain land gambling laws. In that location is partisan understanding on Prop 26: fewer than four in x Democrats, Republicans, and independents would vote “yes.” Moreover, less than a majority beyond all regions and demographic groups—with the exception of likely voters ages 18 to 44 (51% yes, 44% no)—would vote “yeah.”

If the ballot were held today, 26 per centum of likely voters would vote “aye,” 67 percentage would vote “no,” and 8 percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition 27—Allows Online and Mobile Sports Wagering Exterior Tribal Lands. This citizens’ initiative would permit Indian tribes and affiliated businesses to operate online and mobile sports wagering outside tribal lands. Strong majorities across partisan groups would vote “no” on Prop 27. The share voting “yes” has decreased since a month ago (34% September). Today, fewer than three in x across partisan groups would vote “yep” on Prop 27. Moreover, fewer than four in 10 beyond regions, gender, racial/ethnic, education, and income groups would vote “yes.” Likely voters ages eighteen to 44 (41%) are far more likely than older likely voters ages 45 and above (xix%) to say they would vote “yes.”

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If the election were held today, 41 percent of likely voters would vote “yes,” 52 percent would vote “no,” and vii percent are unsure of how they would vote on Proposition thirty—Provides Funding for Programs to Reduce Air Pollution and Prevent Wildfires by Increasing Tax on Personal Income over $2 Meg. This citizens’ initiative would increase taxes on Californians earning more than $ii 1000000 annually and classify that revenue enhancement acquirement to zero-emission vehicle purchase incentives, vehicle charging stations, and wildfire prevention. The share saying “yep” on Prop 30 has decreased from 55 percent in our September survey (note: since September, Governor Newsom has been featured in “no on Prop 30” commercials). Today, unlike Prop 26 and Prop 27, partisan opinions are divided on Prop thirty: 61 per centum of Democrats would vote “yes,” compared to far fewer Republicans (xv%) and independents (38%). Across regions, and among men and women, support falls short of a bulk (36% men, 45% women). Fewer than one-half across racial/indigenous groups say they would vote “yep” (39% whites, 42% Latinos, 46% other racial/ethnic groups). Just over one-half of likely voters with incomes nether $xl,000 (52%) would vote “yes,” compared to fewer in higher-income groups (42% $40,000 to $79,999, 36% $fourscore,000 or more than). About half of probable voters ages 18 to 44 (49%) would vote “yes,” compared to 37 percent of older likely voters.

Fewer than half of probable voters say the outcome of each of these country propositions is very important to them. Today, 21 per centum of likely voters say the outcome of Prop 26 is very of import, 31 per centum say the outcome of Prop 27 is very of import, and 42 percent say the issue of Prop 30 is very important. The shares saying the outcomes are very important to them have remained similar to a month ago for Prop 27 (29%) and Prop 30 (42%). Today, when information technology comes to the importance of the outcome of Prop 26, one in 4 or fewer beyond partisan groups say it is very important to them. Almost one in three across partisan groups say the outcome of Prop 27 is very important to them. Fewer than half beyond partisan groups say the outcome of Prop 30 is very of import to them.

Congressional Elections

When asked how they would vote if the 2022 ballot for the US Firm of Representatives were held today, 56 per centum of likely voters say they would vote for or lean toward the Democratic candidate, while 39 pct would vote for or lean toward the Republican candidate. In September, a like share of likely voters preferred the Autonomous candidate (60% Democrat/lean Democrat, 34% Republican/lean Republican). Today, overwhelming majorities of partisans support their party’s candidate, while independents are divided (l% Democrat/lean Democrat, 44% Republican/lean Republican). Democratic candidates are preferred past a 26-betoken margin in Democratic-held districts, while Republican candidates are preferred by a 23-point margin in Republican-held districts. In the x competitive California districts as defined past the Melt Political Written report, the Democratic candidate is preferred by a 22-indicate margin (54% to 32%).

Abortion is another prominent issue in this election. When asked about the importance of abortion rights, 61 percent of probable voters say the outcome is very important in determining their vote for Congress and another 20 percent say it is somewhat of import; simply 17 percent say information technology is non too or not at all important. Among partisans, an overwhelming bulk of Democrats (78%) and 55 per centum of independents say it is very important, compared to 43 percent of Republicans. Majorities across regions and all demographic groups—with the exception of men (49% very important)—say abortion rights are very important when making their choice among candidates for Congress.

With the controlling party in Congress hanging in the residual, 51 percent of likely voters say they are extremely or very enthusiastic virtually voting for Congress this year; another 29 pct are somewhat enthusiastic while 19 per centum are either not as well or non at all enthusiastic. In October 2018 earlier the final midterm election, a like 53 percent of likely voters were extremely or very enthusiastic about voting for Congress (25% extremely, 28% very, 28% somewhat, 10% not too, viii% not at all). Today, Democrats and Republicans accept about equal levels of enthusiasm, while independents are much less likely to be extremely or very enthusiastic. Half or more across regions are at least very enthusiastic, with the exceptions of probable voters in Los Angeles (44%) and the San Francisco Bay Area (43%). At least half across demographic groups are highly enthusiastic, with the exceptions of likely voters earning $forty,000 to $79,999 annually (48%), women (47%), Latinos (43%), those with a high school diploma or less (42%), renters (42%), and 18- to 44-year-olds (37%).

Democracy and the Political Divide

Equally Californians prepare to vote in the upcoming midterm election, fewer than half of adults and likely voters are satisfied with the way republic is working in the United States—and few are very satisfied. Satisfaction was higher in our February survey when 53 percent of adults and 48 per centum of probable voters were satisfied with democracy in America. Today, half of Democrats and about 4 in ten independents are satisfied, compared to virtually i in five Republicans. Notably, four in x Republicans are not at all satisfied. Across regions, half of residents in the San Francisco Bay Area (52%) and the Inland Empire (50%) are satisfied, compared to fewer elsewhere. Beyond demographic groups, fewer than half are satisfied, with the exception of Latinos (56%), those with a high school caste or less (55%), and those making less than $40,000 (53%).

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In addition to the lack of satisfaction with the manner democracy is working, Californians are divided nearly whether Americans of different political positions can still come up together and work out their differences. Forty-nine pct are optimistic, while 46 pct are pessimistic. Optimism has been like in more than recent years, merely has decreased 7 points since nosotros first asked this question in September 2017 (56%). In September 2020, only before the 2020 general ballot, Californians were also divided (47% optimistic, 49% pessimistic).

Today, in a rare moment of bipartisan agreement, near iv in 10 Democrats, Republicans, and independents are optimistic that Americans of dissimilar political views will exist able to come together. Across regions, nearly one-half in Orangish/San Diego, the Inland Empire, and the San Francisco Bay Expanse are optimistic. Beyond demographic groups, but the following groups have a bulk or more than who are optimistic: African Americans and Latinos (61% each), those with a loftier school diploma or less (63%), and those with household incomes nether $40,000 (61%). Notably, in 2017, one-half or more across parties, regions, and demographic groups were optimistic.

Approval Ratings

With well-nigh two weeks to go earlier Governor Newsom’s bid for reelection, a majority of Californians (54%) and likely voters (52%) approve of the style he is treatment his job, while fewer disapprove (33% adults, 45% likely voters). Approval was nearly identical in September (52% adults, 55% likely voters) and has been fifty pct or more since January 2020. Today, about eight in 10 Democrats—compared to most half of independents and nigh ane in ten Republicans—approve of Governor Newsom. One-half or more beyond regions approve of Newsom, except in the Central Valley (42%). Across demographic groups, nigh half or more approve of how Governor Newsom is treatment his job.

With all fourscore state associates positions and half of state senate seats up for election, fewer than half of adults (49%) and likely voters (43%) approve of the way that the California Legislature is handling its job. Views are deeply divided along partisan lines; approval is highest in the San Francisco Bay Surface area and lowest in Orange/San Diego. Nigh one-half across racial/indigenous groups approve, and blessing is much college among younger Californians.

Majorities of California adults (53%) and probable voters (52%) approve of the way President Biden is handling his job, while fewer disapprove (43% adults, 47% probable voters). Approval is similar to September (53% adults and likely voters), and Biden’s approval rating among adults has been at 50 per centum or higher since we start asked this question in Jan 2021. Today, well-nigh 8 in ten Democrats approve of Biden’due south job operation, compared to nigh 4 in ten independents and one in ten Republicans. Approval is higher in the San Francisco Bay Surface area and Los Angeles than in the Inland Empire, Orange/San Diego, and the Primal Valley. Near half or more than across demographic groups approve of President Biden, with the exception of those with some college teaching (44%).

Approval of Congress remains low, with fewer than four in x adults (37%) and probable voters (29%) approving. Approval of Congress among adults has been below 40 percent for all of 2022 later on seeing a brief run to a higher place forty percent for all of 2021. Democrats are far more than probable than Republicans to corroborate of Congress. Fewer than half across regions and demographic groups approve of Congress.

United states of america Senator Alex Padilla is on the California election twice this November—once for the remainder of Vice President Harris’southward term and in one case for reelection. Senator Padilla has the approval of 46 percent of adults and 48 pct of likely voters (adults: 26% disapprove, 29% don’t know; probable voters: 31% disapprove, 22% don’t know). Blessing in March was at 44 pct for adults and 39 percent for probable voters. Today, Padilla’s approval rating is much higher among Democrats than independents and Republicans. Across regions, nigh half in the San Francisco Bay Area, Los Angeles, and the Inland Empire corroborate of the US senator, compared to four in ten in Orange/San Diego and 1 in three in the Central Valley. Across demographic groups, virtually half or more approve amidst women, younger adults, African Americans, Asian Americans, and Latinos. Views are similar across education and income groups, with just fewer than half approving.

The states Senator Dianne Feinstein—who is not on the California ballot this Nov—has the approval of 41 per centum of adults and likely voters (adults: 42% disapprove, 17% don’t know; probable voters: 52% disapprove, seven% don’t know). Blessing in March was at 41 per centum for adults and 36 percentage for likely voters. Today, Feinstein’southward approval rating is far higher among Democrats and independents than Republicans. Across regions, approval reaches a majority merely in the San Francisco Bay Area. Across demographic groups, approval reaches a majority merely among African Americans


2022 Election COVID-19 Economy Health & Safety Net Political Landscape Statewide Survey

Art in the Garden Augusta Ky